TF-IDF basket · Engle-Granger pairs · Polymarket
Related to LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Markets in the same TF-IDF topic cluster, with a 7-day Engle-Granger cointegration screen against each peer. Pairs with t-statistic below −3.34 reject the null of no cointegration at the 5% level — meaning the two markets share a stationary spread useful for relative-value trades.
§1 · Topic basket · “lol · game · sports” (13 markets)
Top terms: lolgamesportsesportsplayoffswinner
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs100.0¢ YES · $100.7k 24h
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)100.0¢ YES · $32.8k 24h
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner100.0¢ YES · $67.5k 24h
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs53.5¢ YES · $251.4k 24h
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)35.5¢ YES · $27.5k 24h
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner52.5¢ YES · $37.3k 24h
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs0.1¢ YES · $38.4k 24h
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner0.1¢ YES · $117.6k 24h
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner0.1¢ YES · $113.6k 24h
- ★ LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs100.0¢ YES · $63.0k 24h
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)100.0¢ YES · $32.1k 24h
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner100.0¢ YES · $64.2k 24h
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs34.5¢ YES · $203.4k 24h
§2 · Engle-Granger cointegration screen (0 pairs tested)
For each peer, 7d aligned series are regressed; the residuals are tested for a unit root (ADF). Reject H₀ (no cointegration) at 5% when t < −3.34. Cointegrated pairs share a stationary spread — candidates for pairs / basket trades.
Not enough history to test pairs (minimum 24 aligned points required).
▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle
polymarket · lol-sly-ucam1-2026-06-14 · fresh · feed 0s oldrealized vol (ann.)
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max drawdown
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sharpe
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ulcer index
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RMS drawdown
pain index
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mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
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Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
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ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
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cond. drawdown
gain/pain
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Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
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ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
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upside/downside
roll spread
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implied (price-only)
bars used
0
insufficient
spread
—
24h Δ
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flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
- insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API:
/api/m2m/pm-lol-sly-ucam1-2026-06-14/bundle · venue execution: polymarket →