TF-IDF basket · Engle-Granger pairs · Polymarket
Related to Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Markets in the same TF-IDF topic cluster, with a 7-day Engle-Granger cointegration screen against each peer. Pairs with t-statistic below −3.34 reject the null of no cointegration at the 5% level — meaning the two markets share a stationary spread useful for relative-value trades.
§1 · Topic basket · “champion · drivers · f1” (20 markets)
Top terms: championdriversf1sports2026cadillac
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $144.0k 24h
- Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $56.7k 24h
- Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?0.4¢ YES · $31.1k 24h
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $31.8k 24h
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?2.3¢ YES · $50.1k 24h
- Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $47.6k 24h
- Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $209.2k 24h
- Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $187.9k 24h
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $52.3k 24h
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?18.5¢ YES · $45.6k 24h
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.4¢ YES · $36.2k 24h
- Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.4¢ YES · $47.5k 24h
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?13.8¢ YES · $163.5k 24h
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $62.6k 24h
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?2.5¢ YES · $43.1k 24h
- Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $64.6k 24h
- Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $44.8k 24h
- Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $55.5k 24h
- ★ Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.4¢ YES · $46.7k 24h
- Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.3¢ YES · $51.7k 24h
§2 · Engle-Granger cointegration screen (8 pairs tested)
For each peer, 7d aligned series are regressed; the residuals are tested for a unit root (ADF). Reject H₀ (no cointegration) at 5% when t < −3.34. Cointegrated pairs share a stationary spread — candidates for pairs / basket trades.
| Peer | t-stat | n | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.223 | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| NaN | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| NaN | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| -4.304 | 169 | ▲ cointegrated · pair candidate | |
| -2.667 | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| NaN | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| -0.237 | 169 | no rejection · independent | |
| -0.237 | 169 | no rejection · independent |
▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle
polymarket · will-sergio-prez-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion · fresh · feed 0s oldrealized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
0
insufficient
spread
—
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
- insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API:
/api/m2m/pm-will-sergio-prez-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion/bundle · venue execution: polymarket →