Live leaderboards · prediction markets + perp futures

TOP MOVERS BY CATEGORY

Where the action is right now — broken out across 7 topic areas. Each category surfaces the most-traded markets, the most extreme positions (closest to 0 or 1), the coin-flip markets (highest entropy at ~50¢), and the widest arbitrage gaps. Plus a Hyperliquid perpetual-futures panel at the bottom for top gainers, losers, and volume. Powered by the live snapshot of 600 Polymarket markets and 73 HIP-3 prediction outcomes.

Politics105 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?YES 0.7¢ · vol $4.45M
  2. 2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES 0.9¢ · vol $700.9k
  3. 3Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8¢ · vol $642.6k
  4. 4Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?YES 0.7¢ · vol $461.7k
  5. 5Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 1.8¢ · vol $404.6k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?YES 99.8¢ · near YES
  5. 5Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?YES 0.3¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?YES 52.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?YES 52.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?YES 44.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?YES 42.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?YES 60.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Sports132 PM markets · 56 HL preds

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.4¢ · vol $7.27M
  2. 2Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.3¢ · vol $6.64M
  3. 3Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.7¢ · vol $4.50M
  4. 4Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.9¢ · vol $4.06M
  5. 5Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · vol $3.42M

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerYES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerYES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)YES 49.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsYES 50.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 46.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsYES 53.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?YES 44.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  2. 2DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  3. 3DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  4. 4DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  5. 5DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Crypto46 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · vol $205.1k
  2. 2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?YES 2.9¢ · vol $176.2k
  3. 3Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?YES 0.3¢ · vol $171.8k
  4. 4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?YES 99.9¢ · vol $148.6k
  5. 5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $130.9k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  3. 3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  4. 4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?YES 55.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?YES 63.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?YES 26.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?YES 26.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?YES 78.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Weather11 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · vol $37.4k
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $34.7k
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?YES 78.5¢ · vol $34.3k
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?YES 98.8¢ · vol $32.2k
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $31.9k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?YES 78.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?YES 98.8¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Economy16 PM markets · 1 HL pred

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $1.35M
  2. 2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?YES 99.5¢ · vol $1.31M
  3. 3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $1.18M
  4. 4Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.3¢ · vol $1.14M
  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $159.2k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.3¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?YES 0.3¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Fed rate hike in 2026?YES 42.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?YES 78.7¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?YES 15.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?YES 92.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?YES 4.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1June Fed rate changeΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Geopolitics67 PM markets · 1 HL pred

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YES 22.9¢ · vol $5.98M
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?YES 4.7¢ · vol $2.97M
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?YES 50.5¢ · vol $1.83M
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?YES 0.3¢ · vol $976.8k
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14YES 34.5¢ · vol $861.4k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?YES 0.3¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?YES 50.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?YES 44.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?YES 44.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?YES 55.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?YES 61.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1IranΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Tech9 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?YES 0.4¢ · vol $99.1k
  2. 2Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 0.1¢ · vol $49.0k
  3. 3Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 0.3¢ · vol $40.8k
  4. 4Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 95.5¢ · vol $35.5k
  5. 5Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 2.6¢ · vol $34.6k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 0.3¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?YES 0.4¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?YES 2.5¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 2.6¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?YES 71.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?YES 88.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 7.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 95.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 2.6¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Hyperliquid perpetuals179 perps tracked

Top gainers

24h price change

  1. 1MEGA-USD+25.13% · $0.066
  2. 2SKR-USD+19.88% · $0.011
  3. 3CHIP-USD+12.39% · $0.036
  4. 4FET-USD+11.66% · $0.213
  5. 5BRETT-USD+11.43% · $0.007

Top losers

24h price change

  1. 1HMSTR-USD-13.54% · $0
  2. 2MANTA-USD-6.13% · $0.082
  3. 3TRUMP-USD-5.66% · $2.051
  4. 4VVV-USD-5.05% · $16.228
  5. 5STABLE-USD-5.02% · $0.035

Most volume

24h notional traded

  1. 1BTC-USD$1.34B · OI $2.12B
  2. 2ETH-USD$658.01M · OI $1.24B
  3. 3HYPE-USD$304.71M · OI $1.24B
  4. 4SOL-USD$127.04M · OI $269.30M
  5. 5TAO-USD$80.27M · OI $55.11M